Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.001410 0.001501 0.001594 0.001698 0.001811 0.001928 0.002060
2024-10-20 0.001260 0.001382 0.001512 0.001663 0.001831 0.002014 0.002228
2024-10-27 0.001168 0.001311 0.001470 0.001657 0.001873 0.002116 0.002410
2024-11-03 0.001064 0.001218 0.001391 0.001601 0.001850 0.002137 0.002494
2024-11-10 0.001017 0.001185 0.001377 0.001615 0.001904 0.002245 0.002681
2024-11-17 0.000962 0.001137 0.001342 0.001600 0.001920 0.002305 0.002810
2024-11-24 0.000929 0.001114 0.001333 0.001615 0.001970 0.002407 0.002993
2024-12-01 0.000880 0.001067 0.001292 0.001586 0.001963 0.002436 0.003082
2024-12-08 0.000841 0.001032 0.001264 0.001572 0.001973 0.002484 0.003195
2024-12-15 0.000808 0.001001 0.001240 0.001560 0.001984 0.002534 0.003311
2024-12-22 0.000782 0.000979 0.001225 0.001560 0.002009 0.002600 0.003452
2024-12-29 0.000753 0.000951 0.001201 0.001546 0.002014 0.002640 0.003557
2025-01-05 0.000727 0.000928 0.001186 0.001546 0.002043 0.002719 0.003728
2025-01-12 0.000691 0.000891 0.001149 0.001515 0.002028 0.002735 0.003812
2025-01-19 0.000667 0.000868 0.001132 0.001510 0.002048 0.002803 0.003972
2025-01-26 0.000629 0.000825 0.001085 0.001461 0.002002 0.002773 0.003985
2025-02-02 0.000615 0.000815 0.001082 0.001473 0.002046 0.002873 0.004199
2025-02-09 0.000594 0.000792 0.001061 0.001460 0.002050 0.002915 0.004325
2025-02-16 0.000582 0.000783 0.001059 0.001473 0.002094 0.003018 0.004551
2025-02-23 0.000559 0.000757 0.001032 0.001447 0.002078 0.003029 0.004630
2025-03-02 0.000541 0.000738 0.001013 0.001434 0.002081 0.003067 0.004754
2025-03-09 0.000525 0.000721 0.000997 0.001424 0.002087 0.003112 0.004890
2025-03-16 0.000512 0.000709 0.000988 0.001424 0.002108 0.003179 0.005069